Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 874.828037 1002.017902 1148.215028 1330.285811 1553.204547 1820.218006 2.168823e+03
2024-10-20 676.495301 833.693359 1033.778880 1313.284697 1704.057002 2248.023104 3.095692e+03
2024-10-27 563.981231 724.335837 940.805664 1264.910364 1757.898841 2517.347677 3.863146e+03
2024-11-03 513.075207 683.059848 924.777246 1310.333748 1945.626114 3028.048407 5.225941e+03
2024-11-10 470.546536 644.878478 903.558344 1338.762981 2107.642001 3543.677486 6.871773e+03
2024-11-17 437.401616 614.728361 887.870450 1369.976380 2278.625365 4133.307820 9.058614e+03
2024-11-24 399.475753 572.095888 845.602847 1346.535403 2340.283337 4522.212221 1.104717e+04
2024-12-01 375.557654 548.314707 830.143220 1366.794399 2491.842614 5171.795804 1.439839e+04
2024-12-08 357.449023 531.621102 823.897414 1402.204331 2684.201763 6010.912980 1.943233e+04
2024-12-15 336.641223 508.183257 802.716315 1404.215634 2801.984561 6711.368335 2.501897e+04
2024-12-22 313.920256 479.354805 768.495643 1373.854654 2834.774572 7182.032052 3.040184e+04
2024-12-29 300.465431 465.231357 759.509598 1394.840264 3002.801758 8189.130112 4.148055e+04
2025-01-05 279.015740 436.730046 723.244814 1357.109341 3024.470758 8778.394582 5.242820e+04
2025-01-12 261.517741 414.137538 696.537469 1338.207376 3100.216977 9672.599077 7.114559e+04
2025-01-19 242.826860 387.738585 659.420825 1288.768562 3072.405577 10129.611538 8.861301e+04
2025-01-26 235.692490 381.891943 662.455618 1335.330327 3356.140687 12303.685804 1.567541e+05
2025-02-02 227.467340 373.233765 658.678316 1364.493428 3598.068722 14600.779989 2.851491e+05
2025-02-09 220.137786 365.621235 656.159524 1396.515891 3866.352584 17489.231983 5.974681e+05
2025-02-16 208.895636 349.567204 633.947891 1372.466533 3921.039306 19083.915488 1.035457e+06
2025-02-23 202.027641 341.566986 628.432220 1393.251139 4162.095230 22582.432642 2.978314e+06
2025-03-02 196.748306 336.296317 628.373798 1429.586229 4488.326308 27678.904314 1.928002e+07
2025-03-09 189.503062 326.531474 617.173597 1431.650325 4670.000641 31954.714600 4.561385e+08
2025-03-16 180.662587 312.946792 595.991928 1400.495206 4688.008630 34515.176674 NaN